Monday, June 30, 2014

Two-faced US-Aquino-Abe

DIE HARD III / Herman Tiu Laurel / Daily Tribune / June 30, 2014


While BS Aquino was in Japan shaking hands with Shinzo Abe on the “collective defense” deal against the supposed “aggressor” encroaching on territories on actually disputed China Seas waters, Aquino also met with al-Haj Murad promising to deliver Philippine land and sea territory to the MILF along with seventy-five percent of all economic wealth. That’s the two-faced Aquino, talking anti-China patriotism to the Filipino people while selling out the country to the real aggressors and terrorists — the MILF — who invariably meet with Aquino in the Land of the Rising Sun, Land of the Invaders of the Philippines in the Second World War.

Shinzo Abe talks “collective defense,” obligating Japan, the Philippines, the US and other allies to come to each other’s military aid when either is attacked, with Aquino while Abe has no authority at all. In a survey last June 22, Tokyo Times reported that Japanese public opposition to Abe’s plan rose from 48.1 percent in April to 55.4 percent in June this year. Kyodo News reported 57.7 percent of respondents say they are also against the Abe’s reinterpreting, rather than formally amending, the war-renouncing Japanese Constitution, while only 29.6 percent expressed support. But now Abe’s shaking hands on “collective defense” with Aquino while even the Japanese Diet has denied it its imprimatur.

The US needles China with snide remarks from 6,300 miles away in Washington with every disingenuous report of “Chinese aggression” such as the alleged super-close flyby of Chinese jets on Japanese planes (Japan says 30-meters away, China say 150-meters) or the reclamation of Johnson (Mabini) Reef which from the Chinese point-of-view is its right — and impliedly, a response to the US-Edca (Enhanced Defence Cooperation Agreement) converting the archipelago to one big military base for US aggression in Asia. The other face however, invites China to the biggest US- led multi-national naval exercise in Hawaii, and negotiates sales of US mainland assets by the billions.

While extending cooperative gestures to China, the US hones its war doctrine aimed solely at China, changing from Air Land Battle employed in the attacks on Serbia, Iraq and other past aggressions — to the Air Sea Battle doctrine designed to attack China from the East and South China Sea, overcome the final First Island Chain defenses of China and destroy the command-and-control networks of China inland. China fortified its A2/AD, Anti-Access/Area Denial capabilities with hyper-sonic anti-carrier missiles and the likes, US debates a shift to an “Offshore Control” doctrine to choke China’s economy by blocking off China’s access to trade routes by the 2020 deadline of Obama’s “pivot.”

Japan and the US have more double-faced posturing, like the constant iteration of complaint against China’s ADIZ (Air Defense Identification Zone) when Japan and the US had imposed its own over Japan decades ago, even overlapping Chinese territory. Like them, Aquino too, harps on the island-reclamations and facilities building by China but keeps mum about the biggest real estate developer of the Spratlys, Vietnam which is the largest facilities builder there  with 20 facilities. The Philippines itself is building, in Kalayaan, which China cited in its retort to the complaint of the Philippines of violation of the status quo on the Johnson Reef works of China.

China, on the other hand, is straightforward. Even the indefatigable Philippine UNCLoS claims lawyer Harry Roque says, “… China’s acts are consistent with its published defense policy, which currently seeks to achieve ‘sea-denial capability’ in what it considers as its coastal waters, the waters within the so-called nine-dash lines. Clearly, one must commend the Chinese — albeit bereft of legal merits — for their consistency... Given… that contrary to the best hope of Philippine policy makers that US President Obama’s visit to the region will have a deterrent effect… recent events validate China’s design to expel all other claimant countries from the disputed territory on or before 2020...” Roque could have added “only claimants collaborating with the US.”

The Philippines is infected with double-faced ruling class families (switching masks before each colonizer). Aquinos were pro-Japan, now pro-US. Today the two-faced corrupt Aquino government is selectively prosecuting political opponents over “pork” to eliminate opposition the US-inspired cha-cha to pave its way to Sulu Sea oil with the MILF, while Aquino also saves members of his coterie - like Alcala as DA secretary and ERC chair Ducut — even after direct implication by Napoles.  Alcala keeps many Aquino secrets and Ducut is untouchable as Napoles’ lawyer hinted on a radio program, because Ducut was allegedly Ochoa and Aquino’s intermediary and bag lady with Napoles.

Meanwhile, Ombudsman Carpio-Morales shed her patrician face and showed the hoodlum-in-robe when she tried to give “state witness” status to Napoles to save BS Aquino from implication by amending the complaints. Mga Doble Cara!

(Tune to 1098am, Tues.-Fri. 5 p.m.; GNN Talk News TV, Sat. 8 p.m. and Sun. 8 a.m. on Destiny Cable channel 8 and SkyCable channel 213, www.gnntv-asia.com. or YouTube Talk News TV (add Sat. date); this week “New PCA versus Cocolisap;” visit www.newsulongpilipino.com)

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Focusing on real issues

(DIE HARD III / Herman Tiu Laurel / June 25, 2014 / Daily Tribune)


The mainstream media (MSM) obsession and treatment of the “pork barrel” issue has really become a joke, focusing on the shallow drama of mug shots and Spartan living conditions of the first celebrity detainee while urgent issues like the rice price crisis are given passing glances.

Politicians have been worse. Miriam Santiago shrieked that detention facilities should not be turned into a “private resort.” The lady is not lily white and may find herself someday in the same prison situation, denied ceiling to floor padding. BS Aquino too, when his time comes to stay in a cell he will certainly be denied his play station.

What are the more urgent issues? One is Atty. Alan Paguia’s crusade to put “Hello Garci” back on the public’s agenda. The Commission on Elections (Comelec) Chairman Sixto Brillantes says a statute of limitations has buried. Atty. Paguia has filed a second motion with the Comelec Legal Department to his first in 2007 which was never answered by the Comelec. The crimes in the “Hello Garci” case is incontrovertible because of evidence provided by the recordings of the incriminating conversations between Commissioner Garcillano and then President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo, and the latter’s “I am sorry” TV confession. Public accountability in the country is farce until this case is resolved.

Rice prices shot up this month and all MalacaƱang could say was the disingenuous line that the administration’s anti-smuggling campaign must be causing the price spike. It does not explain anything, instead it betrays the administration’s utter incompetence and lack of coordination. The fact is, it has been caught unprepared and a shortage ensued. They should have prepared local production or legally imported supply to maintain the normal stock and price levels. It was a rice price spike that spelled the doom for Fidel V. Ramos’ “Philippines 2020” in 1997. Gloria Macapagal Arroyo had a longer rice crisis, 2008 to 2010. Rice self-sufficiency and price affordability is the topmost priority of the nation.

Garlic prices shot up fourfold last week. Supermarket shelves are empty of it. Some attribute it to price manipulation by traders. The government again claimed that its intensified monitoring of garlic smuggling may be the reason. That stinks. If government planned a crackdown on smuggled garlic, it should also have expected a tightening of supply and taken action to increase production in anticipation. Given the high unemployment figures in the agricultural sector a “two birds with one stone” solution should have been foreseen in the garlic situation, expand land areas dedicated to growing garlic and mobilization of idle farm family hands to grow and process the harvest.

Anticipating and avoiding crises like the rice and garlic supply slumps is a fundamental government mission, BS Aquino should have focused on such tasks Day One of his administration in 2010. Medium term planning and day-to-day coordination among the numerous government agencies, and orchestrating legislative support are essential. But BS Aquino concentrated on morality plays, his “no wang-wang” and “tuwid na daan,”  instead of getting his Cabinet to roll up sleeves and pants’ legs, get into the rice paddies, dig irrigation canals and till vegetable patches with the farmers. Now, the country today is in deep trouble with shortages of the most basic staples.

Agricultural problems require two to three years to solve, in agricultural time which has run out on BS Aquino. Among the many crises there is one area where immediate decisions can bring immediate improvement — the fruitless and self-defeating foreign policy direction BS Aquino government has been dragged into on the South China Sea dispute with China.

For three years the Philippines has taken an adversarial, no-dialog, litigious stance which has not gained a single new islet of territory for the country but instead has lost/atoll after islands/stools to punitive occupations of disputed sea formations by China.

The litigious policy with China has proven totally bankrupt. It is based on the equally bankrupt thesis that the US will honor its “ironclad” promise to back the Philippines. Philippine intransigence allowed China the excuse to occupy and develop the most strategic Mabini or Johnson Reef which pro-US Filipino politician Roilo Golez said is a “game changer.” That neutralizes whatever strategic gain the US hoped for in the EDCA with the Philippines. Aquino can change all these, by a stroke of a pen appointing a new, independent minded Foreign Affairs secretary.  Aquino can start productive dialog and earn billions in joint development projects with China.

The idealistic “pork barrel” narrative has become a soap opera. After 11 months, it still is news - but not headline news. The MSM and the ruling powers clearly want it to be the central news to prevent the nation from focusing on the real problems and solutions. The real, alternative media should persist in bringing the real issues to the fore.

(1098AM, dwAD 5 to 6 p.m. Tuesday to Friday; GNN Talk New TV program on June 14, Saturday 8 p.m. and Sunday  8 a.m. on Destiny Cable Channel 8 and SkyCable Channel 213 or www.gnntv-asia.com. or YouTube Talk News TV and add date; visit www.newkatipunero.blogspot.com)

Wednesday, June 18, 2014

So let's start building

DIE HARD III / Herman Tiu Laurel / June 18, 2014 / Daily Tribune


Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) Secretary Albert del Rosario shrieked through media frantically last Monday that China “and other claimant states” are rushing construction activities in their respective claimed territories to establish facilities.

Which the “other claimant states” are the non-Filipino-speaking DFA secretary did not say, probably to highlight only China, which he has been concentrating fire on from Day One of his appointment to the office by BS Aquino.

Del Rosario wants the Philippines to “call for a moratorium of activities that escalate tension,” which obviously the other claimants won’t do for obvious reasons.
Every party to the claims of disputed islands and territories on the China Sea knows that presence, possession, and development weigh far more than other factors in the determination of a claim. 

In fact, second to China, Vietnam is the most active in building facilities on its claimed islands — including the island the Philippines calls Pugad, where the Philippine military boasted, to spite the Chinese, they played soccer a few weeks ago with their Vietnamese counterparts. Vietnam calls that island Dao Song Tu Tay.

The Vietnamese have been building up their facility on that island since they took it over in 1975, after Philippine forces guarding it left to attend a party at a nearby island, indicating a lack of seriousness.

If the Philippines were to be taken seriously on its claims, shouldn’t it be as active, if not more, than the other claimants in establishing and constructing facilities in its claimed islands, atolls, shoals and reefs?

What we’ve seen so far from the Philippine government under BS Aquino and his DFA secretary is rhetoric and vituperations against one and only one claimant, China, which in reality it has no chance to oppose at all, while contradictorily, it cavorts with other claimants that have taken islands away from it, like what the Vietnamese did on Pugad Island.

I had a debate at the socials of the ribbon-cutting of the Botswana Consular Office at the First Global Building in Makati.  Among the guests were Gen. Danilo Lim and former GNN show host, Gerry Cornejo. When the Johnson or Mabini Reef reclamation by China came up, Gerry proceeded with a harangue against China as it had been mainstream media’s foreign affairs headlines for weeks.  I replied, “So, the Philippines should start building on its own claims!” Expectedly he said, “But we don’t have the money… blah, blah...”

If the Philippines can’t even raise funds to back its claims while trillions are siphoned off by oligarchs, politicians, and needless debts, does the Philippines deserve any of its claims?

It came to a point where Gerry asked (and in a friendly manner), “Are you Filipino?” — to which I responded without any hesitation, “I am more Filipino than you.” Naturally, he retorted, “How can you say that?”  My answer: “I’ve been detained several times for advocacies on national issues.”  Then, his reply was “How does that make you more Filipino than me?” “I put my life where my mouth is,” I emphatically said.

My erstwhile co-detainee from the 2007 Manila Peninsula siege, General Lim, was quiet; knowing him as a straightforward man of his word, I think he silently agreed with me. General Lim, I’m sure, would not tolerate the raging corruption of the system and had to resign his position in the present government.
I dispute the impulse of many Filipinos to treat China as an adversary and aggressor, and their penchant for labeling the pursuit of any other option as anti-Filipino.
I said in an open forum at a recent UP talk that “I resent this constant reference to China as ‘aggressor’ when the historical and continuing fact shows it’s the US and Britain.” To my surprise, the speaker, Central Intelligence Agency Asia expert Robert Sutter, responded, “Certainly, what China is doing is small cake compared with what the British and Americans have done.”

What China, Vietnam et al. are doing are not even “small cake” aggression, but probes and positioning with no intention to cause bloodshed or domination of another nation — with the promise of peaceful resolutions in the end.

In the recent China-Vietnam oil rig standoff, China has openly announced that it “will never send the military.”

China has been meticulous in following civilized international practice: In the 2012 Scarborough standoff with the Philippines, it only sent in its maritime surveillance ships when the Philippines used its BRP Gregorio del Pilar to arrest eight Chinese fishermen.  In the USS Cowpens and oil rig imbroglio, China issued “no sail zone” alerts when the ship from a country 20,000 kilometers away tried to enter the zone, and when ships form Vietnam came up to the security perimeter of the oil rig.

Meanwhile, as five Asian countries are on a building campaign on their claims, with two in a steel-crunching test of wills, the Philippines is merely yakking to the media and whining before an international tribunal.

(Watch GNN Talk News TV with HTL on Destiny Cable Channel 8, SkyCable Channel 213, and www.gnntv-asia.com, Saturday, 8 p.m. and replay Sunday, 8 a.m.; tune in to 1098 AM, dwAD, Tuesday to Friday, 5 p.m.; search Talk News TV and date of showing on YouTube; and visit http://newkatipunero.blogspot.com)