Soho wiser than Carpio
    (Herman  Tiu Laurel / DieHard III / The Daily Tribune / 07-06-2015 MON)
    On the South China Sea/West Philippine Sea (SCS/WPS) dispute,  seasoned public affairs TV news anchor Jessica Soho displayed more intelligence  and wisdom with her plain common sense than the much vaunted Supreme Court Senior  Associate Justice Antonio Carpio.
    That Soho interview was the culmination of Carpio's organized  lecture series cum "experts' discussion" that kicked off last June at the plush  Discovery Suites (sponsored no less by a Japanese neo-nationalist institute)  and continued at the Pamantasan ng Lungsod ng Maynila, as well as in the media  circuit.
    The July 2, 2015 episode of State of the Nation  with Jessica Soho was where Carpio belabored the fact that the  Philippines' International Tribunal of the Law of the Sea (ITLoS) case will  "…take time…even an inter-generational struggle… (where even) if we will win … this  generation will get the ruling… the next will convince the world… and maybe the  next… after that will convince China…"
    Since one generation is 25 years, Carpio is effectively talking  of 75 years before any potential benefits.   To this Soho reacted with plain common sense: "Will there be anything  left in the SCS/WPS after that time?"
    After stumping Carpio with that question, Soho then led him to  reflect on the question of the growing majority of Filipinos as to why the  Philippines is not engaging China in bilateral talks over the SCS/WPS dispute  between the two countries.  Soho asked  Carpio why the Philippines has not taken the track of bilateral dialog at the  same time (as many suggest, a two-track policy that includes dialog--especially  after China spoke through its envoy, Ambassador Zhao Jianhua, last June 12 that  it is open to dialog "without any precondition").
    Carpio took pains to persuade his listeners that bilateral dialog  is not a viable option as it would "jeopardize" the ITLoS case if China invokes  the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLoS) requirement that  disputants first submit to choice "peaceful means" of resolution, among which  are dialog and negotiations, to resolve issues; and only upon the inability to  come to terms through such initial "peaceful means" can the matter be brought  to the court.
    China contends that no such peaceful dialog has happened and  Carpio's caveat may indicate that such can be claimed.
    To buttress his arguments for the Philippines to desist from  any effort to engage China in dialog and bilateral negotiations, Carpio was not  beyond comparing bananas to lychees to make his case.
    Citing the Nicaragua vs United States case at  the International Court of Justice (ICJ)--not ITLoS--where the US was rapped  for laying naval mines in Nicaragua's harbors against the Sandinista government  (which, again, is not a territorial dispute) and where the ICJ decided in favor  of Nicaragua with a $30-million award in damages (which the US repeatedly  ignored), Carpio claimed that the US complied after mounting international  pressure grew out of Nicaragua's repeated attempts at securing a resolution  before the UN General Assembly.
    The truth is the US did not even want to appear at the  slightest bit to be complying with that ICJ ruling as it first required the repeal  of a Nicaraguan law requiring compensation before even extending a politically  motivated "aid" package of roughly over $500 million (not $1 billion as claimed  by Carpio) to the US-backed Violeta Chamorro administration that succeeded the  Sandanistas.
    Carpio, as a member of the high court, demeans the stature  of his position when he stoops that low as to attempt to deceive the  public.  His apparent need to dissuade  the Filipino people from engaging in "bilateral talks" with China seems so  overriding that he had no qualms doing this.
    Many international judicial and quasi-judicial bodies, by  their very nature, are not beyond the reach of geopolitical influences.  The world has seen this, from Slobodan  Milosevic's trial to the abuse of the International Criminal Court against  African political leaders not allied to Western powers.
    Many countries, including China in this case, do not  countenance involvement of such multilateral institutions controlled by the  West.  In conflicts such as those in Libya,  Côte d'Ivoire, or the Rwandan genocide, these institutions were part of the  problem and not the solution.   Conversely, the Tribunal may also be used to turn against the  Philippines' interest.
    Carpio and his like-minded anti-dialog clique are really  getting desperate as more and more Filipinos are wishing for dialog and  bilateral talks with China over the SCS/WPS impasse.  As we wrote recently, "In the Laylo Survey  from May 8 to 18 among 1,500 respondents, 53 percent of Filipinos supported a  diplomatic solution (i.e. dialog) versus 47 percent who 'believe  it is better'… to have filed a case… (which was followed by a) June SWS poll (that)  reported 46 percent of Filipinos disapprove of the government's actions (filing  the case at the ITLoS), which is a sea change from the SWS' 2013 survey where  only 27 percent disapproved of the government's moves."
    Note the advice from a young but internationally recognized  Filipino writer, Ateneo professor Richard Javad Heydarian, in his Huffington  Post article last June 30: "'Time for the Philippines to Adjust its  South China Sea Approach' … Manila should pursue dialog with Beijing while it  still can… the Philippines can still learn some lessons from its neighbors on  how to better manage the ongoing disputes and best deal with the Chinese  juggernaut.  Diplomacy isn't only about  mobilizing… against your foes.  It is  also about… managing differences with even the bitterest foes."
    Got that, Carpio?
    (Listen  to Sulô ng Pilipino, 1098 AM, dwAD, Tuesday to Friday, 5 p.m. to 6 p.m.;  watch GNN Talk News TV with HTL on Destiny Cable Channel 8, SkyCable Channel 213, and  www.gnntv-asia.com, Saturday, 8 p.m. and replay Sunday, 8 a.m.; search Talk News TV and date of  showing on YouTube;  visit http://newkatipunero.blogspot.com; and text reactions to 0917-8658664)