Friday, December 23, 2011

Useful idiot’s autocratic mission

DIE HARD III
Herman Tiu Laurel
12/23/2011



BS Aquino III had wanted to impeach the Supreme Court (SC) Chief Justice (CJ) as far back as January, our informant tells us. Now, even the Senate President faces an ouster plot by a Liberal Party that wants to consolidate its hold on the upper chamber, with the last phase of the plan getting the Vice- President “boiled” in the proverbial “hot water.”

Eight demonstrably lame charges were raised against the CJ, such as his alleged “biased” decisions — despite the fact that SC decisions are collectively arrived at. What is indisputable is that this CJ ouster move would allow BS Aquino and his cohorts to appoint one of their own to the top post, such as (alleged Machiavellian) Justice Antonio Carpio of “The Firm” or Ma. Lourdes Sereno, a demonstrably biased magistrate for the ruling powers.

Our source, very high up in politics, was told in a visit to Malacañang last January — long before the Palace and its previous occupant figured in a “hold departure” imbroglio — that the maximum goal was to oust nine more SC justices. Why would Malacañang want this if the problem, as it is being made to appear, is simply the CJ (along with perhaps two of his associates)?

It should be clear by now that there is a bigger agenda to this impeachment: The replacement of as many sitting justices with BS Aquino’s appointees. Hence, the goal is full control of the SC, with justices beholden and compliant to the Executive. After this, there will be full control of the Senate; and an autocracy without a vice- president would soon follow.

Who could have thought of this? Like many of us, my informant does not think that either BS Aquino or his lieutenant is bright enough to conceive of such a plan. We are, of course, no stranger to PeNoy’s fecklessness throughout his stints in the House and the Senate; in his election campaign; and, now, his know-nothing, do-nothing presidency.

It is apparent that Renato Corona was speaking with more than just propaganda (or even Hacienda Luisita) in mind when he accused BSA III of fomenting a “dictatorship” — though I think by the time the VP is immobilized, the term “autocracy” would be more accurate. So, who could be so skillfully coaxing PeNoy into this direction and why?

Knowing the history of authoritarianism (of both President Marcos and Cory Aquino), we can only conclude that it is no one else but the US State Department.

Marcos kept Ambassador Henry Byroade on martial law plans, even as he had the brains to plan and carry it out all by himself. Cory, meanwhile, had her “revolution” and “revolutionary government” thanks to the US. BSA III’s candidacy was also conceived and run for him by the same forces that backed his mother. Kristie Kenney, the US envoy at that time, even appeared on national TV saying, “I wear Yellow,” in the run-up to the polls.

Later on, as PeNoy was in his first few months in office, one of his executives kept asking one of the Yellow veterans this question: “Has the US Embassy talked to you?”

When the executive no longer sought him for guidance, this Yellow veteran (who remains anonymous for now upon his request) then asked him about this and was told that the Palace was already in close touch with the Embassy.

Yes, the US State Department does micro-manage, especially when it’s a matter of national security — like when it micro-managed the transition from Marcos to Cory with the frenzied trips of Philip Habib and Stephen Solarz, or the earlier “snap election” TV interview with Nightline host, etc.

Marcos planned martial law from 1966 to the moment it was declared in 1972. While BSA III didn’t plan his mother’s death or his run for the highest seat, he did “win” after a confounded automated election system, which coincidentally used US-based Dominion Voting Systems software that faced many issues in New York’s elections.

With the gamut of social and economic challenges left unaddressed, BSA III curiously gives priority to his government’s conflict with the SC, as well as a foiled Senate shake-up. Amid this faltering governance, US State Department officials, namely, Hillary Clinton, seem to be more concerned with buttressing PeNoy’s “machismo” exertions on the South China Sea and “upgrading” Philippine naval assets with “junk” Hamilton cutters.

Last Nov. 17, Barack Obama declared before the Australian Parliament that the US will now “shift from the war on terrorism to economic and security challenges in the Asia-Pacific region,” as he deployed 2,500 US Marines to that country. Indonesia warned that such a ove will only spark tension and mistrust, on top of “irritating” China. It was then no accident that President Hu Jin Tao called on the Chinese Navy weeks later to “prepare for combat.”

All this is happening under a simmering new “cold war,” with Russia on the European front and us in the Pacific theater.

On Dec. 12, the little gun-loving PeNoy addressed the new Armed Forces chief “to shift the military’s focus from defending the country from internal threats to defending it from external (ones), particularly intruders… since the government’s separate peace negotiations with communist rebels and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) are moving forward.”

I have always wondered why communist leader JoMa Sison went to the Netherlands, and not Cuba or China, for exile; or why Ninoy coddled and Cory released him. Now, he is rumored to be coming home to sanctify another Aquino in order to cap off the political consolidation.

With the many rebellions supposedly ending, with the MILF soon happy with its territories (having permanent US bases), and with BSA III as their unifying leader, what could be the end game? Is it to unite the nation in a “holy war” against the intruder in the now dubbed West Philippine Sea; is it to nettle and consternate the enemy of the US while inviting devastation the way the Philippines did in World War II? Useful idiots all indeed!

(Tune in to Sulo ng Pilipino/Radyo OpinYon, Monday to Friday, 5 to 6 p.m. on 1098AM; Talk News TV with HTL, Saturday, 8:15 to 9 p.m., with replay at 11 p.m., on GNN, Destiny Cable Channel 8; visit http://newkatipunero.blogspot.com for our articles plus TV and radio archives)

Thursday, December 22, 2011

The Oligarchy, 2011 and 2012 drags

CONSUMERS DEMAND!
Herman Tiu Laurel
12/19-25/2011



I owe it to our weekly OpinYon readers to give a year-end assessment of the state of the national economy. For Juan de la Cruz, keeping track of the country’s financial, material and social conditions alone is a task made doubly difficult by the leadership in Malacañang that certain quarters say deliberately creates noisy political sideshows and circuses to divert attention from the true economic picture. This time, though, summing up and accurately describing the state of our economy is made a bit easier with the IMF (International Monetary Fund) assessment of our GDP (gross domestic product), which it says “is well below the official 5 to 6% target and the 4.5 to 5.5% forecast,” prompting it to cut its full-year outlook for 2011 to just “3.7% from (the previous) 4.7%.” The BS Aquino III administration actually had, in economist Ben Diokno’s words, only “aspirational” growth rates of 7 to 8%; whereas the reality for the people now is an “asphyxiational” growth rate that is choking our economy.

The IMF’s projection for Philippine GDP next year is 4.2%. Truth to tell, for an economy to just stand in place, at least 6% growth should be achieved; below that, it would be simply falling behind expectations--for example, in jobs generation, which is vital to a growing labor supply setting like the Philippines. The Aquino III administration cannot contend that the global financial and economic crisis since 2008 has hampered its efforts because all other countries in Asia are faced with the same conditions but with them doing much better. The IMF projects that Vietnam’s 2012 GDP will be 6.5%, with its 2011 growth rate estimated at 5.8%--almost double that of the Philippines. The consensus of all economic analysts about our country’s dismal performance has been the under-spending of the Aquino III government, courtesy of its Budget Secretary Butch Abad and its economic team, led by NEDA (National Economic Development Authority) chief Cayetano Paderanga. For lesser fiascos, other officials have been fired; but not in this administration.

As this column was intended to analyze, reflect and provide enlightenment and guidance to OpinYon readers on consumer welfare and protection issues, this focus necessarily brought us to the gamut of social, financial, as well as micro- and macro-economic issues. We have given the most space and effort to electricity, putting it on the people’s consciousness as the top economic issue. Today, almost everyone knows that the Philippines has “the highest power cost in Asia” and a national outcry has been raised to demand action from the highest authority of the land. But, in spite of such calls, coming even from normally taciturn conservative business and labor groups, Malacañang has chosen to stay meek and mute. Worse, Congress and the Senate are not only equally mute; but the Energy Committee chairs, Sen. Serge Osmeña and Rep. Dina Abad, are actively suppressing initiatives from the few legislators who have dared to raise questions. Oligarchs win, people suffer.

I cannot overemphasize the deleterious and devastating impact of the oligarchs’ control of our political institutions that determine the rest of the nation’s economic-social governance, which stack the odds against the people. As in electricity, our petroleum sector which was privatized and deregulated since FVR’s term--a common program of all the Yellow (Edsa I and II) administrations from Cory to Gloria and now, Aquino III--charges some of the highest rates in the world. A recent report on Philippine gasoline prices showed our unleaded gasoline to be 20% higher than the highest unleaded gasoline prices in the United States.

The major oil companies here are alliances of the local oligarchs with the global petroleum giants--from Shell, which has the Ayalas, to Petron, which has the Ashmore group with San Miguel Corp. lurking behind--all traditional oligarch family names intertwined with the political dynasties of the land.

But that’s not all: As we turn to every strategic sector of the economy, we see the oligarchs and their abuses. Our telecommunications charges, for instance, are high due to the highest interconnection fees in the world. Our MRT and LRT have been exploited by a few local families that conspired with the regime of FVR to set sky high profits for the “investors” while financing these with government “sovereign guarantees;” which led to a forced government buyback and instant profits in connivance with Goldman Sachs and other foreign finance mafia firms suing the Philippine government for payment (with the captive Arroyo government only too willing to cooperate by compelling the DBP and Land Bank to cough out $800 million to $1 billion).

By the way, scandals are now erupting around this involving Bobby Ongpin while BS Aquino III and MVP this time around are working out a sweetheart deal to re-privatize the MRT after taxpayers shell our P6 billion to refurbish it, with MVP subsequently allowed to raise fares by up to 70% by 2012.

Our regular column here has also dealt with other critical issues involving the scams of global oligarchy-captured institutions such as the WHO. We were among the very, very few Filipinos who understood the scam behind the H1N1 scare to compel our governments to buy billions of useless vaccines, which now have all gone to waste. We also wrote of the HPV vaccine hoax, which is still being pushed by pharmaceutical firms, beauty consultants (like Belo) and some government health officials, being completely unnecessary aside from being very harmful, as many cases of serious side effects in the US have shown.

Invariably, at the root of all these problems that bedevil consumers (who are also taxpayers and citizens) is the financial oligarchy that pulls the strings and moves its puppets (in the corridors of government and other multilateral or national public institutions, as well as mainstream media) to pull the wool over the public’s eyes while picking their pockets.

Our society and country must therefore head toward the elimination of the power of the oligarchy over our national polity, government and financial structures, in order to restore genuine people’s power (not of the Yellow kind that hides the oligarchs behind its glare). We still hope that our electoral system can bring the changes we need, by installing the correct political leaders who will uphold public interest over oligarchic greed.

Since we have two elections ahead where our actions can count, we need to treble our efforts to educate, elucidate and enlighten the nation and the people. That is what we in OpinYon have pledged to accomplish, along with my own little tri-media sphere that always blares the message: “Down with the Oligarchs! Up with the People!”

(Tune in to Sulo ng Pilipino/Radyo OpinYon, Monday to Friday, 5 to 6 p.m. on 1098AM; Talk News TV with HTL, Saturday, 8:15 to 9 p.m., with replay at 11 p.m., on GNN, Destiny Cable Channel 8; visit http://newkatipunero.blogspot.com for our articles plus TV and radio archives)

Monday, December 19, 2011

BS Aquino III is not president?

DIE HARD III
Herman Tiu Laurel
12/19/2011



Just as we said that Gloria Arroyo was not president when she was declared such in 2001 by Davide and again in 2004 by Congress (in an election where the Cojuangco-Aquino clan endorsed her wholeheartedly), so it is increasingly the case with the current Malacanang occupant.

When BS Aquino III became an accidental candidate in 2009 upon the death of his mother, Cory Aquino (an event played up to launch his campaign), the election that followed was soon hounded by suspicions on the PCOS (Precinct Count Optical Scan) machines of Smartmatic and the Commission on Election (Comelec)s removal of vital voting safeguards. Many became aware that the UV light ballot authentication, the digital signature of the Boards of Election Inspectors (BEI), and the voters receipt were all done away with. Even the highly irregular recall of 76,000 CF (Compact Flash) cards just a week before the polls raised a huge red flag.

Today, many of those suspected criminal acts are now confirmed, thanks to the findings of citizens election watchdogs, CenPEG (Center for People Empowerment in Governance) and AES (Automated Election System) Watch, after year-long investigations.

The following conclusions, which I abridge below, have been borne out of the painstaking efforts of information technology (IT) academics and experts alike:

On May 10, 2010, (Comelec) made available to the public the election results by precinct, town/city, district, province, and nation (via the Web site) http://electionresults.comelec.gov.ph/. A few months later this Web site was taken down. We believe that it is governments duty to make election data from this Web site publicly and freely available, because it is THE STORY of how the Smartmatic-Comelec partnership carried out the computerization of our elections, and whether the computerization exercise was successful or not (As such) we have decided to publish our mirror of this Web site, so that the data are available even if they are not anymore available (That) Web site is: http://curry.ateneo.net/~ambo/ph2010/electionresults/...

A number of researchers have begun work on the data in this Web site (discovering) many serious errors like: 1) 371 precinct election results with 10 voters or less, when the actual number of voters is 400 to 1000 for each of those precincts, 2) 8,939 precincts with no data at all, indicating a possible failure of transmission of data from the precinct to Comelec, 3) of the 67,162 precinct election results which contain data, 25,530 precinct election results have missing data in one elective position, or two or three or more (Such) missing data in one or more elective positions is a clear indicator of the presence of serious bugs which SysTest Labs already pointed out in its certification report to Comelec, which bugs the Technical Evaluation Committee and Comelec conveniently chose to ignore

(The researchers cannot) stand by while Comelec makes another serious mistake in re-using the Smartmatic technology. First, Smartmatic has to install a substantial number of bug fixes in their system before they can get it to work for our elections. Second, Smartmatic cannot do these bug fixes by its lonesome self, since it does not own the technology the copyright to the software is by Dominion Voting Systems of Canada, and Smartmatic is not allowed to make any changes in the source code, and must wait for Dominion to write the bug fixes in its own good time. Third, the PCOS hardware is not adequate to implement the security features required by RA 9369, like: 1) the requirement of digital signatures by the BEI and 2) the planned fingerprint/biometric reader to be installed on the PCOS

Kudos to experts Dr. Pablo Manalastas, Dr. Felix Muga and Dr. Philip Truscott of the Ateneo de Manilas computer science and mathematics departments for trawling data originally posted on the Comelec Web site, which had been inexplicably taken down.

Out of all the major findings, the most significant centers on the missing data in 25,520 precincts, which indicates that there were at least two different canvassing programs in use during the 2010 elections, one that was used in the 41,632 precincts that had a complete set of data and another that was used in the 25,530 precincts that had missing sets of data

So they ask: How come there was more than one program in play? The obvious answer is that the original program that was supposed to canvass votes and transmit the results from those 25,530 precincts was replaced by another program

As a result, The only way of discovering the actual results would be to open the ballot boxes in those 25,530 precincts and count or feed them into pre-tested PCOS counting machines. The results can then be compared to the results reported by the substituted software In the set up by Smartmatic, the consolidating computers apparently had no hand-shaking protocols that would have allowed them to distinguish between legitimate and illegitimate sources (which means) the canvassing computers could have added to, subtracted from, or otherwise altered election results and then transmitted bogus returns.

The late IT expert Manuel Alcuaz had repeatedly stressed in the many forums he spoke, including my TV show, that the cheating in elections is not at the precinct level, where local and party officials are focused on, but at the municipal canvassing level, where the totals are very conveniently and easily manipulated with spurious inputs. Knowing this, he was thus incensed as the precinct level computerization was a big rip-off. Since past Comelec officials (including its then legal chief) allegedly derived pecuniary benefits from Smartmatics PCOS machines, so are the present crop of Comelec commissioners and their supposed politician-clients perceptibly pushing for this patently fraudulent automated system for 2013 and 2016.

In the meantime, the political elite and its darling chief executive are creating political circuses left and right all to divert attention from the most crucial issues, including the question, Is PeNoy simply a Hocus-PCOSed president?

(Tune in to Sulo ng Pilipino/Radyo OpinYon, Monday to Friday, 5 to 6 p.m. on 1098AM; Talk News TV with HTL, Saturday, 8:15 to 9 p.m., with replay at 11 p.m., on GNN, Destiny Cable Channel 8; visit http://newkatipunero.blogspot.com for our articles plus TV and radio archives)