Sunday, June 5, 2011

Power 101: Monopolies & Monopoly Pricing

CROSSINGS
Butch Junia
8/11-17/2010



In our previous columns, we covered various aspects of the power industry. We also addressed specific issues urgent and critical to consumer protection.

If any consumer can be described as ‘battered’, it is the electricity consumer, who has no choice in his service provider and with hardly any say on how much to pay for power.

To help construct the consumer perspective on power, we will run this series. We may not be able to provide many answers, but if we provoke questions, the purpose of the series is served.

Electricity distribution is considered a natural monopoly. It does not make sense for two utilities stringing up parallel and redundant lines or wires. We already have garish sights of hanging and bundled wires with just one distribution utility; imagine if we had two or three.

Until we develop the technology for wireless transmission of electricity, like voice and data conveyance via wireless cell phones and networks, we will remain stuck with the distribution monopolies that we have today, the biggest of which is Meralco.

Monopoly control is made legal by a legislative franchise that defines the franchise territory and authorizes the collection of monopoly rates, subject to review by a regulator. Under this system, the legislative is presumed to make informed franchise decisions and the regulator enjoys presumptive good faith in the exercise of its power to give reasonable returns to investors and secure reasonable rates for consumers. Of course, lobbying and regulatory capture can materially alter that equation.

Pricing of electricity is tricky business. Rates are set based on recoverable cost for providing the service, divided by kwh sales plus a reasonable return for the investment, pegged at the 12% cap set for utilities.

Under the Return On Rate Base (RORB) methodology, actual costs as verified and audited are the basis for rate determination. Utilities complained of the regulatory lag but for the consumers, increases went through a fine-toothed comb, especially as it went up in the judicial review process.

Under the Performance Based Regulation (PBR) which government is now enforcing, rates are set based on projected expenses, and utilities are granted annual increases derived from those estimates. Under RORB, utilities had been ordered to refund overcharges, major of which was the Supreme Court order that disallowed Meralco’s income tax as recoverable expense. Under PBR, that tax has become chargeable to us, and Meralco’s distribution rates have spiked to almost double.

While rate unbundling was supposed to facilitate consumer appreciation of electricity pricing, it has become instead, the launching pad and engine for multi-layered and collateral rate increases.

Under power industry reform, the rates were unbundled or broken down into service components, essentially aligned with the four major industry sectors – generation; transmission; distribution; and, electricity supply and metering.

Generation is primarily a pass-on cost, meaning the distribution utility should not earn or lose anything from it – revenue neutral. Ironically, the monthly fluctuations of generation rates have become the bases for Meralco’s occasional claim of rate reduction.

Transmission at high-voltage levels is a monopoly recently awarded by government to a private concessionaire, the National Grid Corp. of the Philippines. If Meralco lines are the ‘city streets’, the transmission lines are the highways and toll ways to carry bulk electricity, similar to the bulk carriers in the transport sector.

Distribution brings the high-voltage electricity down to consumable industrial and household levels, and is the only other remaining regulated monopoly in the power industry. This sector includes the Privately-owned Distribution Utilities, like Meralco, and the Rural Electric Cooperatives that serve the countryside.

Electricity supply and metering is a ‘new’ sector. A spin-off from distribution, this has been de-monopolized as an initial step towards establishing consumer choice in an industry inherently monopolistic. In the meantime that there is no open access and there are no significant players, this has remained ‘bundled’ with distribution.

In support of de-monopolization, the electricity trader called an ‘Aggregator’ was created under EPIRA. The Wholesale Electricity Spot Market (WESM) was established and open access at the transmission and distribution level was legally mandated. In theory, with a competitive generation market and enough Aggregators active in a trading platform like WESM, the market imbalances in the monopoly can be corrected and the captive customers given a measure of choice.

Of course, between that theory and actual practice is an impassable abyss. Today, aspirations to give captive customers of monopolies a reasonable and fair power rate remain elusive. Blame that on policy logjam and regulatory capture.

Lately, there have been talks of new investments in generation coming in. If the current system is not fixed and reforms are not implemented, the gains from new technology and higher efficiencies will not translate into lower rates for consumers. WESM watchers have questioned WESM’s settlement price, which they say is pegged at the highest quoted price for the day. This definitely defies the law of gravity and common sense.

Obviously, much need to be done, with no significant headway made.

Historical footnote. The early electricity providers were the electric and ice plants operating diesel-powered generators that would run only on some hours of the day. At least, that is how I remember it from our place in Tacloban City. Pres. Ferdinand Marcos later decreed the vertical integration of the industry, establishing the National Power Corp. as the sole generator, buyer and seller of electricity and monopoly operator of the transmission system. Under Pres. Corazon Aquino, at the height of the crippling blackouts, the NPC monopsony was dismantled and the generation sector de-monopolized.

Since then, sustained attempts at restructuring the industry and holding the monopolies at bay were undertaken by the other post-Marcos governments.

It was in 2001, however, with Pres. Gloria Macapagal Arroyo barely five months in office, that the Electric Power Industry Reform Act (EPIRA) was passed by an out-going, lame duck Congress. The EPIRA as adopted had gone through several permutations in at least three (3) earlier Congresses. A hodge-podge of compromises, EPIRA still has to yield consumer dividends, while monopoly utilities and generation companies have been posting remarkable growth in revenues and profits.

Consumer initiatives to fix the law have consistently fallen short, and the hapless consumers remain in dire need of the white knight.

Obviously, much still need to be done for consumers.
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Saturday, June 4, 2011

Talk News TV with Herman Tiu Laurel

Guest: Atty. Homobono Adaza
TOPIC: Osama, Obama And Our Future

Friday, June 3, 2011

PBR: an 'anti-people' power scheme

DIE HARD III
Herman Tiu Laurel
6/3/2011



Our latest episode on the Electric Power Industry Reform Act (Epira) on my Destiny Cable Global News Network show entitled, “The curse of Epira,” had as guests, power consumer advocate Butch Junia and Freedom from Debt Coalition (FDC) former vice-chair Wilson Fortaleza, who jointly declared the “jury in,” finding the 10-year old power law a supreme failure for being grossly inimical to the people and the nation’s economic welfare. Fortaleza put it thus: Epira gave “first world power rates for our third world country.”

Instead of lowering electricity prices, Epira catapulted them to become Asia’s highest; it failed to add additional power production capacity to obviate shortage fears; and it “sold off” 70 percent of government’s generation assets to private companies without reducing the $18-billion National Power Corp. (Napocor) debt that privatization was supposed to pay off.

These Napocor debts, now under the ambit of the Power Sector Assets and Liabilities Management (Psalm) Corp., still stand at $18 billion today. Psalm’s recent claim that it will pay off $1.5 billion, which doesn’t meaningfully reduce the debt at all, only proves that Epira is one monumental scam!

Notwithstanding this Epira curse, the Lower House is now even into amending said law to extend some of its unjust provisions. As we wrote recently, the “lifeline” rate subsidy that would have expired this June--a subsidy supposedly to help poor power users using less than 100 kWh per month but taken from paying power customers--has been intended by the chair of the House Energy Committee, Rep. Dina Abad, and seconded by Ben Evardone and Rufus Rodriguez, to be extended for another 10 years.

Meanwhile, the Senate Energy Committee wants to reclassify the lifeline rate beneficiaries to even lower the 99 kWh-threshold as its chairman, Lopez-related Sen. Serge OsmeƱa, said if the set-up is unchanged, “We’ll be driving out investors… It doesn’t make sense that half of all residential customers are being subsidized.”

On one hand, congressmen want to milk the paying consumers to pay for their charity while senators want to lower the cut-off to charge more of the poor for the benefit of “investors.” They’re all obviously missing the point.

Why subsidize the poor from paying customers’ pockets? Why not from the profits of Manila Electric Co. (Meralco) and private power generators that have been raking it in all this time?

Early this week, newspapers reported Meralco CEO Manuel Pangilinan’s media briefing where he reported his company’s first-half results for earnings: “In terms of the financial position of the company, it is definitely ahead of last year. So, we also expect the full-year performance for this year to be ahead of 2010.”

Get this: Meralco earned a whopping P12 billion in 2010 only on a 3-percent volume growth over 2009’s P6.5 billion and 2008’s P2.8 billion, almost all on the basis of the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC)-approved rate increases under the PBR (Performance Based Rate) scheme of 15.8 percent and its four-year PROSPECTIVE capital expenditure base, which are over the old RORB (Return-on-Rate-Base) of 12 percent on ACTUAL capital expenditure.

As a result, Meralco has (since 2008) increased yearly profits by an average of 100 percent even as the market has not grown over 3 percent per year. The country’s electricity consumers are at a threshold if the PBR isn’t scrapped. The next 10 years will be an era of unprecedented PBR electricity price gouging on top of the past decade of predatory pricing form Epira.

The windfall, nay windstorm, profit of Meralco under Pangilinan’s corporate condominium (in which San Miguel Corp. is one of the largest stockholders) has taken out so much cash from the people’s pockets that he can’t stop spending. He’s now into buying, as newspapers have reported (which Pangilinan is not denying), the NBA franchise of the Sacramento Kings for $200 million.

Awash with cash from the exploitation and abuse of the present Meralco franchise area, Pangilinan is all set to expand his company’s feeding ground, saying, “We are looking at those adjacent to the existing franchise area of Meralco,” taking in Batangas, Quezon, Pampanga, and Tarlac to sow as much price terror as what’s being done in Metro Manila and adjacent cities.

All these are on top of the two other electrifying developments I have written about recently. First is the Renewable Energy Act that will start enforcing “renewable energy” FITs (fit-in tariffs) to attract “investors” into the renewable energy field, including wind, tidal, solar, and mini-hydro (BUT excluding geothermal), wherein such FITs are priced at P19 per kWh or three times higher than the regular generation cost we have today. This is, of course, courtesy of local and international media as well as environmental NGOs that badgered and lobbied Congress, which we will end up paying for.

Then there’s the off-grid SPUG (Small Power Utilities Group) of Napocor that is seeking to add P0.25 per kWh to our bills for its members’ missionary power service losses on top of the regular P0.045 per kWh. These additional charges are dizzying and should send us into a fit of rage now lest they smuggle all these through.

But among all these power issues, the foremost danger to Filipinos today is undoubtedly the PBR, which Junia derisively calls the “Pahirap sa Bayan Rate.” This needs to be appealed to the Supreme Court soon as it is simply an ERC-approved measure that violates the spirit of several earlier high court rulings.

One obstacle is the huge filing fee that would run into millions if consumers were to bring this to the courts, a judicial anomaly that has hounded public interest advocates ever since the Hilario Davide era. We are glad, however, that lawyer Homobono Adaza has agreed to take up the issue and find ways to challenge the powers-that-be despite the obstacles. We will soon be issuing a call for support from the public to help Bono win this crusade for all of us.

(Tune in to Radyo OpinYon, Monday to Friday, 5 to 6 p.m., and Sulo ng Pilipino, Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, 6 to 7 p.m. on 1098AM; Talk News TV with HTL, Tuesday, 8 to 9 p.m., with replay at 11 p.m., on GNN, Destiny Cable Channel 8, with “Tingting Cojuangco on the ARMM Elections”; visit http://newkatipunero.blogspot.com and http://hermantiulaurel.blogspot.com for our articles plus TV and radio archives)